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Tie breaker system CSFL II. Questionable?
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Arod
Rookie
Posts: 3
Joined: Aug 2013
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We all know when Manning is afraid he has lost, he has reverted to name calling and being classy. Maybe his fingers were shaking as he was typing all of these messages and went as far as locking the thread. To further debunk his flawed logic and laughing stock of the current situation, I am here to provide statistical analysis to prove why Manning is once again wrong and not willing to accept it because his ego is too high.
First off, I agree that the first deciding factor of a tie breaker should indeed be record vs opponent. The only situation that might involve another sort of tie breaker is when the teams in one division end up tieing each other and win 1 game against each other during the season. In this case, having points against to determine the seeding might not be the most logical case.
Lets look at the Week 1 statistics: Total passes thrown
Game 1: Chicago vs Dallas --> 69 total passes
Game 2: Toronto vs New Jersey --> 80 total passes
Game 3: Philly vs Washington --> 78 total passes
Based on this alone, the offensive flow of the game can determine how much your team gives up defensively. If you want to waste the 10 second play clock every time after a completion, obviously your team is going to give up less points in the end because you are giving the opposition less time overall to score offensively. Of course the lowest scoring game was Chicago vs Dallas and the highest scoring game was Toronto vs New Jersey in week 1. If an offense likes to throw deep more often and score quicker then usual, this means they are more likely as a team to give up more points because the opposing team will have more time on the clock to run their own offense compared to usual.
Again Manning stated:
"Arod's Logic: Toronto, Washington, Chicago, New Jersey, Philadelphia, Dallas
New Jersey gave up 72 points, which is more than twice the amount that Dallas gave up, yet Dallas is in last place and New Jersey is in 4th?"
New Jersey would not be in 4th place. They would be in 6th place because they would be -34 in point differential.
Point differential takes in effect both offense and defense which makes it more efficient to represent a tie breaker. I just dont think its right for someone to penalize the offense who looks to strike at a quicker pace which gives them more time on the field defensively which typically ends up giving up more points. We also cant consider "better opponent." Manning has made the schedule to fit the skill levels of the QB against each other. In the end, we all face the same teams and it would be most efficient to use a point differential system rather then points against.
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8-8-13 6:42 AM |
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Messages In This Thread |
[] - Gee - 8-7-13, 6:30 PM
[] - Arod - 8-8-13 6:42 AM
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